In most cases, comparable ocean winds would not pose concerns, but high astronomical tides will be higher than usual, paving the way for some minor flooding.
12.
Storm surge should not be confused with storm tide, which is defined as the water level rise due to the combination of storm surge and the astronomical tide.
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The devastating sea storm that whipped up tidal surge up to 12 feet above the normal astronomical tide struck after the start of the high tide of the sea.
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Strong on-shore winds could produce storm surge flooding along the south coast of Puerto Rico, with water levels up to 2 to 4 feet above normal astronomical tide levels.
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The risk of flooding will be heightened in areas where the piling up of coastal waters occurs around the time of the second highest astronomical tide of the winter.
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Research from the NHC ( National Hurricane Center ) explains : " Storm surge is an abnormal rise of water generated by a storm, over and above the predicted astronomical tides.
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On a nautical chart, the "'drying height "'is the vertical distance of the seabed that is exposed by the tide, above the level of the sea at the lowest astronomical tide.
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Because astronomical frequencies and phases can be calculated with certainty, the tide height at other times can then be predicted once the response to the harmonic components of the astronomical tide-generating forces has been found.
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In general, the move is towards using lowest astronomical tide ( LAT ), the lowest tide predicted in the full tidal cycle, but in non-tidal areas and some tidal areas Mean Sea Level ( MSL ) is used.
20.
Strong onshore winds could produce storm surge flooding along the south and west coasts of Puerto Rico and the northeastern coast of the Dominican Republic, with water levels up to 2 to 4 feet above normal astronomical tide levels.
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