This approach is called " multi-model ensemble forecasting ", and it has been shown to improve forecasts when compared to a single model-based approach.
12.
This plan proposed the creation of the THORPEX Interactive Grand Global Ensemble ( TIGGE ), an implementation of ensemble forecasting, and the Global Interactive Forecasting System ( GIFS ).
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Some research on TIGGE has compared it with the North American Ensemble Forecasting System ( NAEFS ) operated jointly by meteorological agencies in Canada, the United States, and Mexico.
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The cost-loss model has also been applied in the context of decisions based on forecasts of air pollution levels and long-range weather forecasting, including ensemble forecasting.
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She is the recipient of the 54th International Meteorological Organization Prize in 2009 from the World Meteorological Organization for her work on numerical weather prediction, data assimilation, and ensemble forecasting.
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The Global Interactive Forecasting System ( GIFS ) was first described in the THORPEX International Research Implementation Plan ( TIP ) published in February 2005 and has since been mentioned in discussions of TIGGE as part of the next step in the evolution of ensemble forecasting after TIGGE . However, GIFS does not have a public-facing implementation as of April 2014.
17.
But they failed to see ( as you do now ) that " every point in the flow " has this instability; any perturbation that you make is insignificant compared to the ( literally ) " trillions " of small perturbations that are below the resolution of computer models, and can only be quantified ( in a very rough way ) by ensemble forecasting.
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